The Foresight Project: Forecasters Needed
The Foresight Project
We’re looking for politically engaged college students to participate in a new forecasting tournament called The Foresight Project. This tournament is designed by the makers of The Good Judgment Project, whose superforecasters beat intelligence analysts at their own game by 30%. Our goals are to better understand tournament design and the ways in which tournaments can reduce political polarization. Students will have the opportunity to improve their forecasting skills, and those skills could be tremendously helpful if they are considering careers in the intelligence community, economics, political science, or public policy. It is also a lot of fun!
The first of three tournaments (2016-2019) begins on Oct 25th and lasts for about 8 months. We take a summer break and begin again in the fall. Participants will be asked to:
* Complete a 45-minute battery of political and psychological tests to predict forecasting accuracy.
* Take a 10 min training module about forecasting accuracy.
* Make predictions about questions throughout the year whenever you wish! We will post a few questions online each week, for example, “Will Donald Trump win the 2016 US Presidential Election?” Select at least 30 questions and update them until the question closes.
* After each question closes, you will receive feedback to improve the accuracy of your forecasts.
Now, for the rewards… Each year
* The top 10% of forecasters will be featured on The Uber Foresight Leaderboard
* The top 2% of participants will each be awarded a $500 Amazon gift card
* The top 2% of participants will be featured in the Monkey Cage
* 20% of participants will have a chance to win a $50 Amazon gift card (with more accurate forecasters having better chances of winning).
* 40% of participants will have a chance to win a $25 Amazon gift card (with more accurate forecasters having better chances of winning).
If you are interested, please go to the link below and sign up.
Please don’t join if you have already participated in GJP or GJ Open.
Questions? Feel free to email us at: